BTC is the first risk-appetite radar, but it is not enough for an offensive mode alone.
Raport Rynku
Daily investor briefing in 3 minutes.
The most important moves in equities, crypto, FX and macro. No noise, no FOMO, with concrete scenarios and risk conditions.
Morning report 09:30
Next publication The next market update is scheduled for around 4:00 PM CET.
Latest Report 2026-08-18 09:30
Today in 60 Seconds
Conclusions first, then data
Last update: 2026-08-18 09:30 · day mode: Observation
Making a decision without confirmation from the dollar, indices and liquidity.
The scenario strengthens only when BTC and ETH do not give back the move, the dollar does not rebound and Nasdaq/S&P 500 confirm risk appetite.
not enough data
Do not chase a candle, do not increase position size without calculated loss and do not treat one asset as a full market signal.
Topic of the Day
Morning briefing: Bitcoin at USD 64,254 as crypto remains the main market signal
This block answers one question: what really matters today and why it affects day mode.
This is an educational and observational report. Current data helps set scenarios, but every decision still needs an error limit, position size and invalidation condition.
The scenario strengthens only when BTC and ETH do not give back the move, the dollar does not rebound and Nasdaq/S&P 500 confirm risk appetite.
If crypto gives back the move, the dollar rebounds and technology indices are under pressure, the selective scenario loses value and capital protection returns.
Market Pulse
Only the key assets, source and data status
Data may be outdated — check the latest report.
Source: CoinGecko · 2026-08-18 09:25 · last known good
Source: CoinGecko · 2026-08-18 09:25 · last known good
Source: Frankfurter.app / ECB · 17 Aug 2026 · reference value
Source: Frankfurter.app / ECB · 17 Aug 2026 · reference value
Latest Report
the dollar remains the main risk filter
Crypto gives a fast liquidity signal, but it needs confirmation. BTC: USD 64,254 (24h temporarily unavailable), ETH: USD 1,899.36 (24h temporarily unavailable). ECB reference rate dated 17 August 2026: USD/PLN 3.7146, EUR/PLN 4.3063. The market has not confirmed a new direction; calm observation remains appropriate.
- Key topic of the day. A BTC/ETH move matters most when it is not isolated and is confirmed by the dollar, liquidity and Nasdaq.
- What can move prices. CoinDesk: Check whether ETH confirms BTC and whether the move survives the US session.
- Each data point keeps its class and date. ECB reference rate dated 17 August 2026: USD/PLN 3.7146, EUR/PLN 4.3063. Fetched on 18 August 2026 at 07:30.
Real Portfolio
A real portfolio, not a model to copy
Current status, structure, data scope and decision history in one place.
Presented value
PLN 36,849.04
Open Real Portfolio
Includes the stock and ETC account plus three separate ETF plans. Status: August 12, 2026.
Tools
Calculate your maximum acceptable loss
This educational calculator estimates the maximum loss and approximate position size for the selected stop-loss level.
Academy
3 lessons that help you read the report
How to read the report
You will see: Market in 60 seconds, scenarios and the condition that changes the view.
Open lessonRisk-on / risk-off
You will see: day mode and confirmation from indices and the dollar.
Open lessonHow to calculate risk before buying
You will see: the risk calculator and the error limit.
Open lessonArchive